Prop 11 margin grows; ballots left to count shrinks

As noted before, this election is over and the Yes side has won. But the formality of counting goes on.

Friday was a scheduled reporting day for many counties. Between votes newly reported to the Secretary of State, and votes posted on county websites but not yet reported to the state, we counted 219,248 more ballots today.

Of those, 11.2 percent were blank on Prop 11. Of the Prop 11 votes, 52.8 percent voted yes and 47.2 percent voted no. The Secretary of State reported new votes from Contra Costa, El Dorado, Fresno, Kings, Marin, Nevada, Orange, Sacramento, San Diego, San Luis Obispo, San Mateo, Tuolumne, and Ventura counties. The Rose Institute also discovered 56,000 new Prop 11 votes on the Los Angeles County website that are not yet reported to the Secretary of State.

Any Prop 11 opponent’s remaining dreams of a reversal now hang on a big defeat among the remaining 200,000 or so LA County ballots. And there was very bad news for those opponents today: this new batch of LA County ballots voted no by only the slimmest of margins: 49.9% Yes, 50.1% No. The difference was only 158 votes.

The end result of all today’s vote counting: Prop 11’s margin is now the highest is has ever been: 181,893, and it leads 50.8 percent to 49.2 percent. 
The number of ballots left to be counted has begun to drop a bit faster: by our count, it is now down to about 1.2 million.

To win, the Yes on 11 side needs only 41 percent of all remaining ballots. In 55 of the 58 counties in the state, the Yes numbers are running higher than 41 percent. And 65 percent of the ballots left to be counted are from “yes on 11” counties.

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